Sure,
the popular rage is to try to figure out who authored the famous op-ed in The
New York Times. But we here at BTRTN are more interested in the larger
question: why did he or she write it, and why now?
Get this… 1600
Pennsylvania Avenue now appears to house two entirely separate groups of unelected people who have colluded to
undermine the will of the American people in the 2016 election.
On the one hand, there is Donald Trump and members of his
2016 campaign, who, prior to the election, illegally conspired to pay off porn
stars and may well have worked directly with the Russian government all for the
purpose of influencing the election outcome.
And now we have Cheap
Throat, who claims to represent a shadow government of clandestine
operatives who are purportedly colluding as we speak to prevent the President
of the United States from implementing orders that this unelected group deems to
be unwise, uninformed, or downright unhinged.
We here at BTRTN don’t often quibble with The New York
Times, but when the grey lady steps on our toes we are not shy. Our problem lies neither with the act of publishing the
op-ed, nor the Times’ decision to allow the writer to remain anonymous. It was
with the Times’ own coverage of the op-ed as news. Right there on the front
right column of page one, summarizing the fall-out from the op-ed and Bob
Woodward’s Fear, the Times wrote:
“The
collective portrayal suggested that Mr. Trump may not be fully in charge of his
own White House, surrounded by advisers who consider him so volatile and
temperamental that they swipe documents from his desk in hopes of stopping him
from issuing rash orders. While his rivals called such efforts heroic and
patriotic, his supporters complained of a virtual coup at odds with the
Constitution and the will of the people.”
Sorry, The New York
Times, I can’t stand Donald Trump but don’t plop me into a bucket of people
who gleefully call this “heroic and patriotic.” I am no “supporter” of Donald Trump, but
count me among those who are aghast that there is a cadre of unelected people
who are colluding to undermine the will of the American people as expressed in
the 2016 election. If I had been
informed in 2010 that a dozen people in the White House were working hard to
undermine the Presidency of Barack Obama, I would be screaming "deep state" and
demanding an investigation, too.
Sure, there is a knee-jerk reaction among sane human to express relief and appreciation when seeming
whistle-blowers appear to risk their careers for the noble purpose of keeping
Donald Trump’s finger off his big button.
But trading an obvious threat to democracy for a silent, insidious version is
not the answer.
For starters, the protective bubble-wrap that these
vigilantes have been wrapping around Donald Trump is preventing the voters off
the United States from seeing the complete, full measure of just how ignorant, impulsive,
and dangerous Donald Trump is to our republic, to global stability, and to our
very survival as a species. In the name of saving our nation from Trump, these
people are creating an environment which actually enhances the likelihood that
Donald Trump is re-elected in 2020. This, in turn, would extend the duration of the power and
unchecked authority of these insurgents as the unelected, self-appointed cabal
that calls the shots in the United States of America.
Oh, irony. Donald Trump was right. There is a deep state after all. Not the liberal, left-wing,
fake-news media, Washington establishment, DOJ conspiracy he imagines, but a
confederacy of dunces of his own choosing.
Of course, there is one screamingly obvious question: if
these vigilantes really wanted to protect the country from Donald Trump, why did they go and it scream from the rooftops in The New York Times? Let’s stop the silly infatuation with speculating on who
wrote it, and focus on the far bigger question: Why did they write it? What was the purpose of the op-ed? And why now?
We will try some forensic analysis to find the true motive.
Start with Cheap
Throat’s exceedingly curious notion that invoking the 25th
Amendment would “precipitate a Constitutional crisis.” At face value, this
would appear to be is pure oxy being
peddled by a moron. You are not going
to trigger a constitutional crisis if you adhere rigidly to what the
constitution requires.
If you are sitting in the West Wing of the White House and believe
that the President of the United States is acting “in a manner that is
detrimental to the health of our republic,” and you clearly imply that the
President is not to be counted as one of the “adults in the room,” then you are
saying that you believe the man is incapable of carrying out the duties and
responsibilities of the Presidency. That is precisely the circumstance for
which the 25th Amendment was written.
And, indeed, the author conveys that this option
was considered.
“Given
the instability many witnessed, there were early whispers within the cabinet of
invoking the 25th Amendment, which would start a complex process for removing
the president. But no one wanted to precipitate a constitutional crisis. So we
will do what we can to steer the administration in the right direction until —
one way or another — it’s over.”
“No one wanted to precipitate a constitutional crisis?”
Huh? I don’t buy this for one second. Cheap Throat uses this justification to rationalize the
insurgents’ decision to not invoke the 25th Amendment, but their solution
is to slow-jam a coup.
Here’s a different theory altogether. Perhaps Cheap Throat undertook
this entire exercise to educate the population of the United States of America
on the profound flaw in the Twenty-Fifth Amendment.
First, a quick summary of how the Twenty-Fifth Amendment is
supposed to work. If a
simple majority of the 24 cabinet officers believe that the President is
incapable of performing his or her duties as President, and the Vice-President
co-signs the proclamation, then the President is temporarily removed from
office. Simple as that. Thirteen cabinet officers and the Vice-President. Then,
the measure is sent to Congress, where a two-thirds majority is required in
each of the House and the Senate in order to make the temporary removal
permanent. If these super-majorities are not achieved in both legislative
bodies, the power of the presidency is returned to the elected president.
Let’s say for sake of argument that Deep Throat tip-toed
around the cabinet and found that twelve of his or her colleagues were ready to
sign a proclamation to invoke the 25th Amendment.
Before that document could go anywhere, they must have the
agreement of the Vice President.
And this is where the essential flaw in the 25th
Amendment becomes apparent. The entire functionality of the amendment rests on
the agreement of one person… a person who is inevitably intensely biased by
virtue of his or her proximity to the human being who is president and to the
presidency itself.
In this particular case, we have Vice President Mike Pence,
who is clearly angling to succeed Donald Trump as President of the United
States. Indeed, Mike Pence may have pretty much concluded that if he shuts up
and lays low, one of three things is going to happen: (1) Trump is impeached,
and Pence becomes President, (2) Trump resigns, and Pence becomes President, or
(3) Trump stays in office and runs in 2020… and that regardless of whether
Trump wins or loses, Mike Pence has the inside track on the 2024 Republican
nomination.
The only thing Mike Pence knows for certain is that if he
shows any sign of rebelling against Donald Trump, he shoots himself in the
foot. If Mike Pence alienates Trump’s
base, he cannot be elected President on his own. That is a certainty.
Sure, you may say: if Mike Pence really wants to be
President that bad, why not go along with the insurgency and trigger the 25th
Amendment now? Simple. Given the intense loyalty of Donald Trump’s base, Pence
knows he would never, ever get the two-third votes of support he would need to
get in the Senate. So the Presidency would be returned to Donald Trump in 21
days, and Pence would simple be persona
non grata in Donald Trump’s Republican Party… certainly dumped from the
ticket in 2020.
There you have it: the 25th Amendment is written
in such a way that there is only one
person on earth who must go along with the resolution in order for it to
pass. All you need is any combination of thirteen cabinet members and any
combination of Senators and House Representatives who lead to a two-thirds
majority. But
you must have the agreement of the Vice-President… and
this Vice-President has every incentive in the world to withhold such
agreement.
This brings us to the question of why Cheap Throat went to
The New York Times.
Cheap Throat’s op-ed piece is a work of art in three parts.
It is one part education, one part effort to influence the mid-terms, and one
part a long-shot hand-grenade intended to take down the Vice President.
One part education: Cheap
Throat is clearly worried that his or her group of White House insurgents is
not going to be able to prevent this president from doing catastrophic damage
forever. At the most basic level, the writer wanted to make as clear as
possible that the conditions exist for implementing the 25th
Amendment. Indeed, the reference to the “early whispers within the cabinet of
invoking the 25th Amendment” is perhaps the most amazing revelation
in the piece. Is the writer suggesting that there may have even been a majority
of cabinet members ready to endorse such a proclamation, which was stopped dead
in its tracks at the realization that Pence would never go along, and indeed,
might tell Trump exactly who was leading a palace coup?
In the end, Cheap Throat wanted to aggressively air the
fact that the 25th Amendment has been discussed, if only so that
people figure out that it cannot be implemented in this situation. Cheap Throat is telling everyone to stop wasting their time calling for the 25th Amendment. It is not going to happen... so their needs
to be another remedy.
One part effort to influence the mid-terms:
Cheap Throat's second goal is to shout out as loudly as possible that the small band of
insurgents in the White House cannot contain Trump forever. They need help.
They need the leaders of Congress to recognize the gravity of the crisis in our
government. They need Congress to stop enabling the President and join in the
effort to contain him. They undoubtedly want the Mueller investigation to
continue unimpeded, as this may be the most effective tool to bring about the
end of the Trump presidency. They need the Supreme Court to back up
Mueller’s investigation. They need the American people to understand how near
the edge of chaos the country is perched.
The timing of the Op-ed was simple: Labor Day is the traditional kick-off of the election
season. No one pays that much attention to the elections until after Labor Day.
Deep Throat wanted these urgent issues squarely in front of the voting
population in the final days leading up to the mid-terms. Cheap Throat's hope: a
legislatively neutered Trump will help the White House insurgents muzzle Trump.
One part hand grenade intended to take down
Mike Pence: A great deal of
attention has been paid to the unusual word in penultimate paragraph:
“We
may no longer have Senator McCain. But we will always have his example — a
lodestar for restoring honor to public life and our national dialogue. Mr.
Trump may fear such honorable men, but we should revere them.”
It is widely known, and has been widely reported, that
“lodestar” is a word that Vice President Pence has invoked in a number of
speeches. It is such an unusual word, and has been used by the Vice President
on a large enough number of occasions, that it is fair to conclude that it is
associated with him more than with anyone else in the administration.
Many writers and pundits have already pointed the fact that "lodestone" is associated with Pence, but they generally come to the conclusion that this means that the piece must have been written by someone on Pence's staff. We suggest an entirely different interpretation.
Cheap Throat chose to prominently use this word because he or she knew that Trump loyalists would conduct forensic analysis of
the writing style and quickly identify “lodestar” as an idiom frequently
employed by Pence. Moreover, the word was inserted in a
paragraph lionizing John McCain, who Trump explosively detests. One hypothesis:
Cheap Throat inserted this paragraph with the hope that it would cause Trump to
suspect that Pence was the author. CheapThroat was intentionally trying to trigger Trump's explosive temper and cause Trump to rage at Pence.
Remember: Pence is the one and only person
in the executive branch of our government that Trump cannot fire. Thus constrained, we can imagine that an enraged Trump would start to publicly treat Pence the same way
he treats Sessions. What if Trump started to smear Pence with ridicule, taunts,
and abuse? If Trump began to send signals to his base that Pence was not to be
trusted, then Pence’s future would be over.
And that might make Pence suddenly realize that his only
chance at the White House would be through the 25th Amendment.
It is an interesting thesis: that the entire purpose of the Op-ed was to point out the flaw in the 25th Amendment, and then create a situation in which Pence would have the perfect motivation to employ it.
Would that it were
all so.
In the meantime, we have two camps in the White House, each attempting to run the government, each now pitted against the other, each equal in their illegitimacy, leaving the citizens of the United States to view it all from the outside.
In the end, I choose to see the Op-ed as a modern day ride of Paul Revere: One if by land, two if by sea... and three if our leaders are the enemy. We are being warned that Donald Trump is an existential threat to our country. We are being instructed that the 25th Amendment is not an option. We are hearing an urgent plea from within the executive branch of government for the other branches to step up and do their jobs to provide checks and balances on the President.
And, we, as citizens, are being reminded that true court of last resort is the voting booth. The best chance we have of preserving our democracy and out Constitution from the carnage wrought by this administration is to take our government back in the exercise of our right to vote.
This November, we can make huge progress toward that goal. But we all must work as we have never done before to make that happen.
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