Tom
reflects on 1790, 2010 and 2017.
Alexander Hamilton was not very
happy. Hamilton had just delivered his
opus, a report on the credit situation of the United States, and what to do
about it, to the very first Congress. The
report was requested by Congress not long after George Washington had appointed
Hamilton to be the first Treasury Secretary, and was widely anticipated. Hamilton, in typical fashion, went far beyond
the assignment, and delivered, essentially, a blueprint for how to achieve his
vision of a strong, centralized U.S. government, replacing the ineffectual
government under the Articles of Confederation.
Among his principal recommendations was the assumption by the new
government of all state debts, which then amounted to a whopping $25 million.
Hamilton was unhappy because his
intellectual partner, James Madison, had just launched a broadside attack on
Hamilton’s report, a critique that dumbfounded Hamilton. Just two years before, the pair had written
80 of the 85 Federalist Papers that were so instrumental in securing passage of
the Constitution, thereby replacing the Articles and setting our nation on its unified
course. Madison was the strongest voice
in Congress, and his blessing, which Hamilton took for granted, was crucial to
passing Hamilton’s plan. But Madison, it
turned out, was wary of a strong, centralized government, and he knew the assumption
of states’ debts would irrevocably establish the federal government’s
preeminence over the states.
And so began the battle still
being waged in Washington, DC, today over the power of the federal government. Hamilton and Madison would become
arch-enemies, Hamilton (and President Washington) favoring – to put it mildly
-- a strong, centralized government, while Madison (joined by the new Secretary
of State, Thomas Jefferson), fearing the same, and favoring states’ rights
instead. The party names have changed
since the time of the Federalists and Anti-Federalists, but the Dems and the
GOP carry on the debate.
It is hard to find an issue that better
exemplifies the two underlying party philosophies than the health care
insurance debate. The Dems believe in a strong
role for the federal government, expressed through Obamacare, which sought to
subsidize health insurance for the previously uninsured through an expansion of
Medicaid, paid for by taxing the wealthy, and requiring a commitment of all
Americans to enroll in health insurance program, the so-called mandate. The GOP considers Obamacare to be yet another
massive federal entitlement program, and for years argued for its repeal and a
return to a market-driven system, with no “forced choices” such as the mandate. Once in power, however, Trump realized that
simply “repealing” the now-popular Obamacare would leave him and the GOP open
to huge criticism, and thus announced a goal to “replace” it as well.
The divide reveals the effects of
the two philosophies in ways rarely so starkly quantified It is a pretty clear choice, and the CBO
analysis makes the trade-off clearer still.
The new Senate bill will result in 22 million fewer Americans with
health care coverage, and would save roughly $300 billion over ten years. Under the GOP plan, the more limited government
approach would give the wealthiest Americans a huge tax cut and deny coverage
to poorer and older Americans, while eliminating the mandate of insurance
coverage.
Which brings me to Ted
Kennedy. Perhaps no public official
worked harder over his career than Kennedy to expand health care coverage
(Kennedy’s and the Dem’s true goal was universal coverage via direct government
insurance, essentially Medicare for all).
How thrilled Kennedy surely must have been in 2009 to see Obamacare
moving through Congress; not universal care, perhaps, but strong enough to cut
the number of uninsured in America from 50+ million to half that. And success seemed assured, because the
Democrats controlled the Presidency and both houses of Congress, indeed they
had 60 certain votes in the Senate, enough to pass the bill without a single
GOP vote.
Fate would, of course, intervene,
and Kennedy would die in August, 2009, before he could cast one of those 60
votes. And a Republican, Scott Brown,
would, shockingly, win his seat. Obama
would get his bill though, and the GOP House would go on to vote to repeal it
60 more times. Obamacare in practice did
reduce the number of uninsured by tens of millions, but the Supreme Court,
while upholding (surprisingly) the constitutionality of the bill, made the states’
Medicaid expansion requirement optional.
Obamacare’s various flaws inhibited its effectiveness, and in a number
of states the number of insurers remained low.
Kennedy would not have been
surprised by Obamacare’s defects. He would have seen the bill in a clear-eyed
manner – landmark legislation that went far in achieving far greater coverage,
but with defects, in need of legislative improvement. “Never let the perfect be the enemy of the
good” he would intone; his legislative philosophy always favored passing a good-but-not-perfect
bill and then fixing it over time. In
Ted Kennedy’s Senate, this was the way it was.
But the GOP has, in seven years, refused
to follow that dictum, choosing to repeal rather than engage in the needed
fixes. And thus, now, we have the ”repeal
and replace” madness, with a Senate bill that is only slightly less “mean” (to
use Donald Trump’s own words) than its House counterpart. The fractured GOP hates the bill from both the
far right and from the moderate center, and in reality, it is a garbage bill in
all ways.
Hamilton could have predicted the
folly of “repeal and replace”. As he
said, “Whoever considers the nature of our government with discernment will see
that though obstacles and delays will frequently stand in the way of adoption
of good measures, yet when once adopted, they are likely to be stable and
permanent. It will be far more difficult
to undo than to do.” Hamilton also decried
smallminded legislators who followed their constituents rather than lead
them. He bemoaned, “The inquiry
constantly is what will please, not what will benefit, the people.”
How did Madison’s Congress
ultimately pass Hamilton’s program? In
the best political tradition, the way it has been practiced from 1790 until very
recently, a deal was cut, the first major compromise in our legislative
history. Hamilton and Madison went to
dinner at Jefferson’s house, in our young nation’s first capital in New York
City. And by the time dinner was over,
Hamilton would have his bill, and Jefferson and Madison would have what they wanted, which was that the permanent site of the capital would border their
beloved Virginia, right on the Potomac, in what would become – yes, Washington,
DC.
The GOP of the 115th
Congress (or its immediate predecessors) does not appear to be capable of doing
what Hamilton, Madison, Jefferson and Kennedy would have done – reaching a compromise
with the Dems and fixing the ACA, which would actually both please and benefit the people. The undoing is exposing the GOP’s
dysfunction, putting them in a lose/lose debacle, where passing the bill could
very well be worse than failing to pass the bill.
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