Hillary Clinton won in absolutely epic style in the
consequential South Carolina Democratic primary. If Bernie Sanders “crushed” Hillary in New
Hampshire by a 21-point margin, I find it daunting to come up with an
appropriate adjective for Clinton’s 48-point win. But I do know that this virtually seals
Clinton’s nomination.
I will be back tomorrow night to explain that as part of my
Super Tuesday predictions. Suffice to say
that the conclusion is analytically based, and is hard to refute. South Carolina and its “First in the South”
primary bodes incredibly well for Hillary in the South-dominated Super Tuesday races, and the math gets very tough for Bernie from there.
As predictions go, this one was decent. We at BTRTN had Hillary whipping Bernie by a very
large margin, 26 points – and I felt I was pushing it a bit versus the polls --
but the end outcome was so much more. We are a perfect 8 out of 8 in predicting the winners in 2016, and are now off a mere 2.6 percentage points for each of the 39 candidate projections we have made in those eight races.
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South Carolina (D)
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BTRTN Prediction
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Actual
|
|
Clinton
|
63
|
74
|
|
Sanders
|
37
|
26
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